Find the NFL props the market got wrong.

Model projections built from open NFL data, line shopping across sportsbooks, and the week's likeliest outcomes, all in one place.

Prop Board

Every prop ranked by edge. Compare books side by side, then log your bets.

Most Probable

The likeliest winners, scorers, and big games, with fair odds next to the best price.

Field Conditions

See how weather, roofs, and playing surfaces could shape each game.

Parlay Builder

Build a slip from game lines and props, then compare the parlay price at each book.

CLV Tracker

Record each bet and see whether you beat the closing line.

DFS Optimizer

Build DraftKings and FanDuel lineups from the simulated projections.

Game sims

Predicted points for this week's matchups. Tap a game for a closer look.

Biggest model edges

Most likely to win

How it works

Project. Recent NFL stats, adjusted for the opposing defense, injuries, and role changes, become a projection for each player.
Compare. The model's chance is set against what each sportsbook is paying, and the gap is the edge.
Track. Log your bets and check them against the closing line to see if the edge is real.

Perfect so far this season

Props where the player has gone over (or under) the line in every game played this season, at least 4 games.

Player	Prop	Record	Closest game	Best price

Trending up and down

Players whose usage in their latest game moved the most from their previous three games. Minimum 4 games played.

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For entertainment and information only. Not financial advice, and no outcome is guaranteed. 21+ where legal. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.